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2018全年農(nóng)機市場景氣指數(shù)速覽

2018-12-14 14:36:21 來源：中國農(nóng)機網(wǎng)整理發(fā)布 閱讀量：32667 評論

導讀：今年我國的農(nóng)機市場整體處于低迷狀態(tài)，但是在3月份的時候出現(xiàn)了由深度不景氣到景氣的“蝶變”，這是一二月份市場觸底形成“洼地”后的反彈，這個時候春耕開始，市場正處于傳統(tǒng)旺季，同時也是因為近年玉米、小麥收獲機及拖拉機市場持續(xù)低迷，直接觸動剛性與更新雙向需求發(fā)力的結(jié)果。

　　【中國農(nóng)機網(wǎng) 市場行情】今年我國的農(nóng)機市場整體處于低迷狀態(tài)，但是在3月份的時候出現(xiàn)了由深度不景氣到景氣的“蝶變”，這是一二月份市場觸底形成“洼地”后的反彈，這個時候春耕開始，市場正處于傳統(tǒng)旺季，同時也是因為近年玉米、小麥收獲機及拖拉機市場持續(xù)低迷，直接觸動剛性與更新雙向需求發(fā)力的結(jié)果。
 
2018年AMI走勢圖
 
　　此后，從四月份開始，AMI大體處于下滑階段，農(nóng)機市場受水稻價格下行、傳統(tǒng)市場飽和、購買力下降、更新周期延長等諸多利空因素掣肘，整體形勢不容樂觀。下面是具體各個月份的農(nóng)機市場景氣情況。
 
　　1月中國農(nóng)機市場景氣指數(shù)20.7%
 
　　中國農(nóng)業(yè)機械流通協(xié)會發(fā)布的2018年1月份中國農(nóng)機市場景氣指數(shù)(AMI)為20.7%，環(huán)比下降6.8個百分點，同比下降12.1個百分點。從環(huán)比看，6個一級指數(shù)除庫存量指數(shù)和經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)略有提升，其他四個一級指數(shù)均呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢，其中效益指數(shù)降幅高，為23.6個百分點。從同比看，6個一級指數(shù)中除庫存量指數(shù)略有上升外，其他五個一級指數(shù)均呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢，其中經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)降幅高，為44.0個百分點。目前，6個一級指數(shù)均位于不景氣區(qū)間。
 
　　2月中國農(nóng)機市場景氣指數(shù)37.5%
 
　　中國農(nóng)業(yè)機械流通協(xié)會發(fā)布的2018年2月份中國農(nóng)機市場景氣指數(shù)(AMI)為37.5%，環(huán)比上升16.8個百分點，同比下降19.6個百分點。從環(huán)比看，6個一級指數(shù)除庫存量指數(shù)略有下降，其他5個一級指數(shù)均呈現(xiàn)上升趨勢，其中經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)增幅高，為63.6個百分點。從同比看，6個一級指數(shù)中除經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)上升外，其他5個一級指數(shù)均呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢，其中人氣指數(shù)降幅高，為42.2個百分點。目前，6個一級指數(shù)中農(nóng)機補貼指數(shù)和經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)位于景氣區(qū)間。從本月起，二級指數(shù)增加耕整地機械指數(shù)，三級指數(shù)增加深松機指數(shù)和旋耕機指數(shù)。
 
　　3月中國農(nóng)機市場景氣指數(shù)70.3%
 
　　中國農(nóng)業(yè)機械流通協(xié)會發(fā)布的2018年3月份中國農(nóng)機市場景氣指數(shù)(AMI)為70.3%，環(huán)比上升32.8個百分點，同比上升8.0個百分點。從環(huán)比看，5個一級指數(shù)呈現(xiàn)上升趨勢，其中人氣指數(shù)增幅高，為48.9個百分點。從同比看，6個一級指數(shù)中除農(nóng)機補貼指數(shù)略有下降外，其他5個一級指數(shù)均呈現(xiàn)上升趨勢，其中經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)增幅高，為19.0個百分點。目前，6個一級指數(shù)均位于景氣區(qū)間。
 
　　4月中國農(nóng)機市場景氣指數(shù)61.9%
 
　　中國農(nóng)業(yè)機械流通協(xié)會發(fā)布的2018年4月份中國農(nóng)機市場景氣指數(shù)(AMI)為61.9%，環(huán)比下降8.4個百分點，同比上升15.7個百分點。從環(huán)比看，6個一級指數(shù)全部呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢，其中效益指數(shù)降幅高，為29.3個百分點。從同比看，6個一級指數(shù)中除農(nóng)機補貼指數(shù)略有下降外，其他5個一級指數(shù)均呈現(xiàn)上升趨勢，其中人氣指數(shù)增幅高，為42.4個百分點。目前，6個一級指數(shù)均位于景氣區(qū)間。
 
　　5月中國農(nóng)機市場景氣指數(shù)42.1%
 
　　中國農(nóng)業(yè)機械流通協(xié)會發(fā)布的2018年5月份中國農(nóng)機市場景氣指數(shù)(AMI)為42.1%，環(huán)比下降19.8個百分點，同比上升12.6個百分點。從環(huán)比看，6個一級指數(shù)全部呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢，其中效益指數(shù)、庫存指數(shù)、人氣指數(shù)和經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)降幅均在20%以上。從同比看，6個一級指數(shù)中除農(nóng)機補貼指數(shù)略有下降外，其他5個一級指數(shù)均呈現(xiàn)上升趨勢，其中人氣指數(shù)增幅高，為16.5個百分點。目前，6個一級指數(shù)均位于不景氣區(qū)間。
 
　　6月中國農(nóng)機市場景氣指數(shù)為25.5%
 
　　中國農(nóng)業(yè)機械流通協(xié)會發(fā)布的2018年6月份中國農(nóng)機市場景氣指數(shù)(AMI)為25.5%，環(huán)比下降16.6個百分點，同比上升2.4個百分點。從環(huán)比看，6個一級指數(shù)中除經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)全部呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢，其中銷售能力指數(shù)降幅高，為27.7個百分點。從同比看，6個一級指數(shù)中銷售能力指數(shù)、效益指數(shù)和農(nóng)機補貼指數(shù)呈下降趨勢，另外三個指數(shù)則呈上升趨勢。目前，6個一級指數(shù)均位于不景氣區(qū)間。從本月起，二級、三級指數(shù)產(chǎn)品類別調(diào)入田間管理機械、畜牧機械、收獲后處理機械、播種機、插秧機、植保機和施肥機，調(diào)出柴油機。部分指數(shù)算法有所調(diào)整。
 
　　7月中國農(nóng)機市場景氣指數(shù)30.5%
 
　　中國農(nóng)業(yè)機械流通協(xié)會發(fā)布的2018年7月份中國農(nóng)機市場景氣指數(shù)(AMI)為30.5%，環(huán)比上升5.0個百分點，同比下降2.8個百分點。從環(huán)比看，6個一級指數(shù)中除庫存量指數(shù)有所下降外，其余均呈現(xiàn)上升趨勢，其中農(nóng)機補貼指數(shù)增幅高，為11.4個百分點。從同比看，6個一級指數(shù)中除庫存量指數(shù)和經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)呈上升趨勢外，其余均呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢。其中效益指數(shù)降幅高，為25.0個百分點。目前，6個一級指數(shù)除農(nóng)機補貼指數(shù)外均位于不景氣區(qū)間。
 
　　8月中國農(nóng)機市場景氣指數(shù)29.4%
 
　　中國農(nóng)業(yè)機械流通協(xié)會發(fā)布的2018年8月份中國農(nóng)機市場景氣指數(shù)(AMI)為29.4%，環(huán)比下降1.1個百分點，同比下降13.0個百分點。從環(huán)比看，6個一級指數(shù)中銷售能力指數(shù)、農(nóng)機補貼指數(shù)和庫存量指數(shù)有所下降，其余呈現(xiàn)上升趨勢，其中人氣指數(shù)增幅高，為14.7個百分點。從同比看，6個一級指數(shù)均呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢，其中效益指數(shù)降幅高，為29.1個百分點。目前，6個一級指數(shù)均位于不景氣區(qū)間。
 
　　9月中國農(nóng)機市場景氣指數(shù)25.2%
 
　　中國農(nóng)業(yè)機械流通協(xié)會發(fā)布的2018年9月份中國農(nóng)機市場景氣指數(shù)(AMI)為25.2%，環(huán)比下降4.2個百分點，同比下降13.0個百分點。從環(huán)比看，6個一級指數(shù)全部呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢，其中經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)降幅高，為13.1個百分點。從同比看，6個一級指數(shù)中除經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)外，其余全部呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢，其中銷售能力指數(shù)降幅高，為22.6個百分點。目前，6個一級指數(shù)均位于不景氣區(qū)間。從本月起，三級指數(shù)中深松機指數(shù)暫不發(fā)布。
 
　　10月中國農(nóng)機市場景氣指數(shù)22.0%
 
　　中國農(nóng)業(yè)機械流通協(xié)會發(fā)布的2018年10月份中國農(nóng)機市場景氣指數(shù)(AMI)為22.0%，環(huán)比下降3.2個百分點，同比下降14.4個百分點。從環(huán)比看，6個一級指數(shù)除補貼指數(shù)外全部呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢，其中人氣指數(shù)降幅高，為6.9個百分點。從同比看，6個一級指數(shù)中除庫存量指數(shù)外，其余全部呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢，其中效益指數(shù)降幅高，為34.6個百分點。目前，6個一級指數(shù)均位于不景氣區(qū)間。
 
　　11月中國農(nóng)機市場景氣指數(shù)20.2%
 
　　中國農(nóng)業(yè)機械流通協(xié)會發(fā)布的2018年11月份中國農(nóng)機市場景氣指數(shù)(AMI)為20.2%，環(huán)比下降1.8個百分點，同比下降7.0個百分點。從環(huán)比看，6個一級指數(shù)中銷售能力指數(shù)、效益指數(shù)和人氣指數(shù)呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢，其中人氣指數(shù)降幅高，為10.6個百分點。農(nóng)機補貼指數(shù)、庫存量指數(shù)和經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)則有所提升，農(nóng)機補貼指數(shù)增幅高，為5.0個百分點。從同比看，6個一級指數(shù)中除庫存量指數(shù)和經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)外，其余全部呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢，其中銷售能力指數(shù)降幅高，為18.7個百分點。目前，6個一級指數(shù)均位于不景氣區(qū)間。
 
　　此外，預計12月份AMI將持續(xù)徘徊在不景氣區(qū)間，環(huán)比有望回升，同比將持續(xù)其跌勢。后續(xù)消息請繼續(xù)關(guān)注中國農(nóng)機網(wǎng)(m.tmpdc.cn)相關(guān)資訊。
 
　　本文由中國農(nóng)機網(wǎng)整理發(fā)布，部分資料來源：中國農(nóng)業(yè)機械流通協(xié)會，如有侵權(quán)或異議請聯(lián)系我們。

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