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開展時間: 2025-02-22
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11月拖拉機(jī)數(shù)據(jù)出爐,1-11月產(chǎn)量45萬多臺,預(yù)計全年50萬臺
2024-12-21
09:39:53
來源:總站信息處 作者:劉振營 閱讀量:757
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導(dǎo)讀:2024年11月拖拉機(jī)總產(chǎn)量3萬1897臺,與2023年11月產(chǎn)量4萬0588臺相比,下降21.4%。
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農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng) 市場行情】日前,國家統(tǒng)計局發(fā)布2024年11月份規(guī)模以上
拖拉機(jī)生產(chǎn)企業(yè)大型、中型、小型拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量數(shù)據(jù)。
注:根據(jù)國家統(tǒng)計局標(biāo)準(zhǔn),規(guī)模以上是指年主營業(yè)務(wù)收入2000萬元以上;拖拉機(jī)是指20馬力及以上輪式和
履帶式拖拉機(jī);小型拖拉機(jī):20-25馬力;中型拖拉機(jī):25-100馬力;大型拖拉機(jī):100馬力及以上。
一、11月份拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量數(shù)據(jù)
2024年11月拖拉機(jī)總產(chǎn)量3萬1897臺,與2023年11月產(chǎn)量4萬0588臺相比,下降21.4%。
2024年11月拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量數(shù)據(jù)
其中,11月份大型拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量5605臺,中型拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量15292臺,小型拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量1.1萬臺。
1-11月拖拉機(jī)累計產(chǎn)量:大型拖拉機(jī)104813臺,中型拖拉機(jī)219503臺,小型拖拉機(jī)12.9萬臺。前9個月累計生產(chǎn)拖拉機(jī)45萬3316臺,比2023年的49萬2561臺相比下降8.0%。
1、大型拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量
根據(jù)統(tǒng)計數(shù)據(jù)顯示,2024年11月大型拖拉機(jī)累計產(chǎn)量5605臺,比去年同期增長-27.9%。9月拖同比由增轉(zhuǎn)降后,11月降幅陡然加大。
2024年1-11月大型拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量數(shù)據(jù)
1-11月大型拖拉機(jī)累計產(chǎn)量104813臺,同比增長2.7%。今年以來,累計產(chǎn)量一直保持較高增長,從8月開始增幅逐月有所下降,11月只增長2.7%。
2、中型拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量
根據(jù)統(tǒng)計數(shù)據(jù)顯示,2024年11月中型拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量15292臺,比去年同期增長-30.1%,5月和6月兩個月小幅轉(zhuǎn)增后,7月轉(zhuǎn)為較大幅度下降,8月和9月降幅均有所加大,11月降幅陡然加大。
2024年1-11月中型拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量數(shù)據(jù)
1-11月累計產(chǎn)量219503臺,同比增長-13.8%。5月和6月小幅增長,但從7月開始轉(zhuǎn)為較大幅度下降,且降幅逐月增大。
3、小型拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量
根據(jù)統(tǒng)計數(shù)據(jù)顯示,2024年11月小型拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量1.1萬臺,8月降為萬臺以下且降幅創(chuàng)新高,10月由降轉(zhuǎn)增,11月又重回下降。
2024年1-11月小型拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量數(shù)據(jù)
小型拖拉機(jī)1-11月累計產(chǎn)量12.9萬臺,同比增長-15.7%,今年上半年降幅逐月加大,下半年一直在低位。
二、2024年拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量預(yù)計50萬臺
2024年1-11月拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量數(shù)據(jù)已經(jīng)出來了,1-11月拖拉機(jī)累計產(chǎn)量45.33萬臺,同比去年下降近3.9萬臺,說明市場形勢比較嚴(yán)峻,特別是11月大中拖降幅都陡然增加,使得拖拉機(jī)累計產(chǎn)量降幅比較大。
盡管拖拉機(jī)仍處在發(fā)展階段,遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)沒有達(dá)到飽和的程度,相對需求缺口比較大,特別是有些省丘陵山區(qū)比較多,以及南方水田省區(qū),拖拉機(jī)市場還沒有完全啟動,但由于國際形勢的復(fù)雜性以及經(jīng)濟(jì)大環(huán)境下,中小企業(yè)運(yùn)營不確定性增加,導(dǎo)致一方面小型拖拉機(jī)市場持續(xù)低迷,另一方面可能是小型拖拉機(jī)規(guī)模都比較小,有些小規(guī)模企業(yè)的產(chǎn)量沒能進(jìn)入國家統(tǒng)計數(shù)據(jù),因此小型拖拉機(jī)下降幅度可能會超預(yù)期。
綜合以上因素,基本維持上月的預(yù)測:2024年拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量可能在50萬臺左右,比2023年產(chǎn)量下降8%以上,但產(chǎn)品結(jié)構(gòu)將會有較大變化,大型拖拉機(jī)占比將明顯提升,小型拖拉機(jī)占比繼續(xù)下降。其中大型拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量仍維持預(yù)計11萬多臺,比上年略有增長;中型拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量24萬臺,預(yù)計比上年下降10%以上;小型拖拉機(jī)產(chǎn)量14萬多臺,下降約15%。
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