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7月份生豬存欄*實現(xiàn)同比增長

2020-08-18 08:53:27 來源：農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部新聞辦公室 閱讀量：17656 評論

導(dǎo)讀：7月份全國生豬生產(chǎn)繼續(xù)較快恢復(fù)，能繁母豬存欄穩(wěn)定增加，生豬存欄開始同比增長，預(yù)示著5-6個月后生豬出欄量也將實現(xiàn)同比增長，將從根本上扭轉(zhuǎn)市場供應(yīng)偏緊的局面。

　　【農(nóng)機網(wǎng) 市場行情】 日前，從農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部獲悉，7月份全國生豬生產(chǎn)繼續(xù)較快恢復(fù)，能繁母豬存欄穩(wěn)定增加，生豬存欄開始同比增長。農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部畜牧獸醫(yī)局相關(guān)負(fù)責(zé)人表示，按照生豬生產(chǎn)的周期性規(guī)律，產(chǎn)能恢復(fù)過程首先是能繁母豬存欄恢復(fù)增長，之后是生豬存欄恢復(fù)增長，然后是出欄恢復(fù)增長。生豬存欄同比增長，預(yù)示著5-6個月后生豬出欄量也將實現(xiàn)同比增長，將從根本上扭轉(zhuǎn)市場供應(yīng)偏緊的局面。
 
　　生豬產(chǎn)能恢復(fù)迎來又一拐點各地豬場補欄勢頭良好
 
　　據(jù)農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部監(jiān)測，7月份全國生豬存欄環(huán)比增長4.8%，連續(xù)6個月增長，同比增長13.1%。這是自2018年4月份以來生豬存欄*實現(xiàn)同比增長，也是繼6月份能繁母豬存欄同比增長后，生豬產(chǎn)能恢復(fù)的又一個重要拐點。同時，7月份能繁母豬存欄環(huán)比增長4.0%，連續(xù)10個月增長，同比增長20.3%。
 
　　該負(fù)責(zé)人介紹，養(yǎng)豬場戶補欄增養(yǎng)勢頭較好。據(jù)農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部對全國規(guī)模豬場全覆蓋監(jiān)測，7月份有2916個新建規(guī)模豬場投產(chǎn)，今年以來新建規(guī)模豬場投產(chǎn)累計已達(dá)9093個，去年空欄的規(guī)模豬場已有11202個復(fù)養(yǎng)。散養(yǎng)戶補欄積極性進(jìn)一步恢復(fù)，4000個定點監(jiān)測村生豬存欄和能繁母豬存欄連續(xù)6個月增長，養(yǎng)豬戶占全村總戶數(shù)的比重為8.3%，較2月份的歷史低點上升0.7個百分點。
 
　　7月份，全國31個省(區(qū)、市)生豬存欄全部實現(xiàn)環(huán)比增長，前期降幅較大的南方主產(chǎn)省份繼續(xù)快速恢復(fù)，江蘇、安徽、廣東、湖南、四川等省生豬存欄環(huán)比增幅在5%以上。
 
　　“2020年入汛以來，我國南方地區(qū)發(fā)生多輪強降雨過程，造成多地發(fā)生洪澇災(zāi)害，但生豬養(yǎng)殖的設(shè)施化程度較高，南方洪澇災(zāi)害對生豬生產(chǎn)恢復(fù)的影響總體不大。”該負(fù)責(zé)人說，“但災(zāi)后發(fā)生動物疫情的風(fēng)險增加，局部地區(qū)新建和改擴建豬場建設(shè)進(jìn)度因災(zāi)有所放緩，災(zāi)后生產(chǎn)恢復(fù)任務(wù)較重。”
 
　　6月起豬肉價格季節(jié)性上漲近期上漲動力減弱
 
　　據(jù)了解，2月中旬至5月底，豬肉價格連續(xù)3個多月下降。進(jìn)入6月份，受新冠肺炎疫情穩(wěn)定控制后消費拉動、季節(jié)性消費增加等因素影響，豬肉價格再次上漲。隨著生產(chǎn)進(jìn)程恢復(fù)加快，近兩周漲幅明顯收窄，7月份后1周漲幅為0.7%，8月份第1周漲幅為0.9%，8月份第2周持平止?jié)q。
 
　　該負(fù)責(zé)人表示：“總的來說，近期豬肉價格漲勢開始減弱。綜合考慮生豬生產(chǎn)逐步恢復(fù)和豬肉消費需求釋放等因素，預(yù)計三季度豬肉仍將呈現(xiàn)供應(yīng)偏緊、價格高位震蕩的局面，隨著上市肥豬量的持續(xù)增加，四季度供需關(guān)系將進(jìn)一步緩和，價格再繼續(xù)大幅上漲的可能性不大。”
 
　　該負(fù)責(zé)人介紹，下一步，農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部將按照黨中央、國務(wù)院決策部署，進(jìn)一步加大工作力度，切實抓好災(zāi)后生豬疫病防控和生產(chǎn)恢復(fù)，確保2020年底前全國生豬產(chǎn)能基本恢復(fù)到接近常年的水平，明年完全恢復(fù)正常。印發(fā)《關(guān)于進(jìn)一步做好洪澇災(zāi)害災(zāi)后動物防疫工作的通知》，優(yōu)先支持洪澇災(zāi)區(qū)的生豬大縣恢復(fù)生產(chǎn)，抓好重大動物疫病防控，做好生產(chǎn)資料和產(chǎn)品產(chǎn)銷銜接，盡快恢復(fù)正常生產(chǎn)秩序。進(jìn)一步落實好生豬養(yǎng)殖用地、抵押貸款試點和環(huán)評等政策措施，通過帶動、財政資金扶持、實用技術(shù)培訓(xùn)等多種途徑支持中小養(yǎng)殖場戶加快補欄增養(yǎng)。毫不松懈抓好非洲豬瘟防控，落實落細(xì)常態(tài)化防控措施，繼續(xù)開展重點區(qū)域和場點全覆蓋入場采樣檢測，強化出欄檢疫、屠宰監(jiān)管和病死豬無害化處理等措施，阻斷疫情傳播渠道。

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