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當(dāng)前玉米市場形勢如何?今年農(nóng)民玉米種植積極性如何?

2021-04-20 17:01:45 來源:農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng)整理發(fā)布 閱讀量:26555 評論

導(dǎo)讀:4月20日,農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部就一季度農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行情況舉行了新聞發(fā)布會,發(fā)展規(guī)劃司司長曾衍德、市場與信息化司副司長宋丹陽、種植業(yè)管理司副司長劉莉華、畜牧獸醫(yī)局副局長陳光華、辦公廳副主任劉均勇等出席發(fā)布會并答記者問。

  【農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng) 熱點(diǎn)關(guān)注】 4月20日,農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部就一季度農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行情況舉行了新聞發(fā)布會,發(fā)展規(guī)劃司司長曾衍德、市場與信息化司副司長宋丹陽、種植業(yè)管理司副司長劉莉華、畜牧獸醫(yī)局副局長陳光華、辦公廳副主任劉均勇等出席發(fā)布會并答記者問。
 
  對于農(nóng)民普遍關(guān)注的玉米價(jià)格問題,農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部市場與信息化司副司長宋丹陽表示,玉米用途廣泛,產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈條長,社會對于玉米價(jià)格的波動關(guān)注程度高。根據(jù)監(jiān)測,今年一季度玉米市場運(yùn)行大體可以分為兩個(gè)階段:第一階段是春節(jié)之前,主要是受需求旺盛、流通糧源偏緊的影響,所以價(jià)格持續(xù)走強(qiáng)。第二階段是春節(jié)以后,主要是氣溫升高,農(nóng)民和貿(mào)易商售糧進(jìn)度加快,市場供給呈現(xiàn)階段性寬松,價(jià)格企穩(wěn)回落。
 

 

  目前,東北和華北地區(qū)玉米的收購價(jià),東北現(xiàn)在一斤大概1.35元-1.4元的價(jià)位,華北地區(qū)大致是在1.45-1.5元的水平。這個(gè)價(jià)格水平雖然比去年漲幅是比較大的,但是與2014年(歷史最高價(jià)位)相比,只是小幅度上漲??傮w上是近年來玉米需求增長的拉動和成本上升推動下,是恢復(fù)性的上漲。玉米價(jià)格適當(dāng)上漲,讓連年虧損的玉米種植終于有了凈利潤。再加上政策支持穩(wěn)定,今年農(nóng)民種糧積極性大幅度提高,玉米的播種面積也有望明顯恢復(fù)。與此同時(shí),玉米漲價(jià)也不可避免地抬升下游的飼料養(yǎng)殖成本。對此,我們正在與有關(guān)部門一起,在抓好糧食生產(chǎn)的同時(shí),通過增加超期儲存的稻谷、小麥投放,適當(dāng)擴(kuò)大玉米及替代品的進(jìn)口,引導(dǎo)調(diào)控需求等多項(xiàng)措施,保障飼料糧供應(yīng)。從后期的走勢來看,綜合考慮農(nóng)民和貿(mào)易商手中的余糧、加工企業(yè)庫存以及進(jìn)口等因素,新季玉米收獲上市前市場供應(yīng)是充足的,價(jià)格持續(xù)上漲是缺乏支撐的。秋糧上市后市場供應(yīng)有望進(jìn)一步改善,以我為主保障谷物基本自給的格局不會改變。
 
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